In early 2015, I wrote about the significant declines in the proportion of young people with a driving licence. However, at the time, significant questions remained unanswered. Were young adults forgoing cars entirely? Or were they merely delaying a few years before they hopped behind the wheel?
Since that time I have analysed youth licensing data in the state of Victoria, Australia, and in the US. These are two of the few jurisdictions that provide enough data to track cohorts of young people over time.
What we see when we look at individual cohorts over time is that by the time people reach their mid-20s they are just about as likely to have a licence now as their counterparts were ten years ago.
Authors: The Conversation Contributor