Well, folks, this should be the end of industrial political polling as we know it.
Republican presidential nominee, Donald Trump began his tilt at the presidency as an outlier, and even as recently as voting day was characterised by many pollsters as the likely loser.
Now he is the US president elect, an outcome that most mainstream observers...
Election night in America has been stunning. The outcome may be catastrophic and transformative for America and the world. The pundits and pollsters consistently reported throughout the long, long US campaign that Hillary Clinton was in the lead in the popular vote, estimated across the average of most national polls.
A Clinton victory had seemed...
Leading Australian academics respond to Donald Trump’s victory, and look ahead to what kind of president he might be.
Gorana Grgic, lecturer in US politics and foreign policy, University of Sydney
This result confirms that 2016 is a year of tectonic shifts in politics of...
Donald Trump has emerged as the winner in the US Presidential election, but even before the result was clear the prospect came as a profound shock to financial markets.
As I wrote last month, financial markets had for the most part priced a victory by Hillary Clinton - just as they had priced a vote to remain (in the European Union) by British...
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