Daily Bulletin


Daily Bulletin

The Conversation

  • Written by The Conversation
imageDavid Cameron enjoying the moment.Stefan Rousseau/PA

The UK has woken up from an astonishing night in politics. There were shades of 1992, with the opinion polls almost certain of deadlock between the two main parties and ultimately proving to be wrong. There were also shades of 1997, with some very big names falling.

The Conservatives have won the election after securing 331 seats – far more than the what they needed for a majority. Labour has fallen far short of the number of seats expected with just 232.

Conservative gains

The Conservatives were of course the biggest winners here. The Liberal Democrat vote failed to shift totally to Labour, while the Conservatives seemed to gain from tactical voting from UKIP supporters.

The Conservative vote held up well in the main battlegrounds in the Midlands and seemed not to suffer from the UKIP factor. In a genuine three-way battle in Thurrock, they held off both Labour and UKIP.

Unstoppable SNP

The results in Scotland have been truly seismic. The SNP won 56 of 59 seats, securing remarkable swings against Labour. The biggest news was the demise of Scottish Labour Leader Jim Murphy in Renfrewshire East and Labour’s campaign strategist Douglas Alexander in Paisley and Renfrewshire South. These defeats were notable for the huge swings against Labour that will take several elections to reverse if ever. Douglas Alexander’s defeat to a 20-year old student proved one of the images of the night. It’s worth noting that turnout in these two constituencies rose to 81% and 75% respectively, reflecting the SNPs post referendum organisational capacity.

Liberal Democrat meltdown

Beyond Scotland the other obvious story emerging was the Liberal Democrat meltdown. Although Nick Clegg hung on in Sheffield Hallam, due to some tactical voting from Conservative supporters, the party has been decimated in this election. Simon Hughes lost to Labour in a tight scrap in Bermondsey and Danny Alexander lost his seat in Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey. More surprisingly Vince Cable was defeated in Twickenham and Ed Davey beaten in Kingston. They paid a heavy price for five years of coalition.

Labour goes backwards

Labour seemed stunned by the exit poll that predicted 316 seats for the Conservatives. As the night panned out though it became obvious that the party was unable to make headway in key target seats. When Nuneaton was held by the Conservatives, then Warwickshire North – Labour’s number one target seat – it set a pattern for Labour in the Midlands. It was unable to make inroads in seats it really needed to win.

The gains from Conservatives, as they were, appeared in London in seats such as Enfield North and in Ealing Central. Labour managed to pick up seats from Liberal Democrats in Redcar and Cardiff Central, and unseat Hughes in Bermondsey and Lynn Featherstone in Hornsey. But Conservatives also took Liberal Democrat seats in Kingston and Eastleigh.

A pattern emerged of Labour holding up in London, but not as much as they would have hoped, while being unable to make any serious challenge to the marginal Conservative seats the party needed to win to offset the wipeout in Scotland. UKIP may end up coming third in the vote share but possibly with only a single seat, that of Douglas Carswell who held on in Clacton. This looks like an election lost by Labour and Liberal Democrats, rather than won by Conservatives.

The inquisition in Labour Party circles has already started. David Cameron, however, will be prime minister, the head of the largest party and may even scrape over the line to get a majority in parliament. There will undoubtedly be profound implications for the nature of the union and Britain’s future in Europe.


This article was updated with seat numbers as they came in.

Mark Bennister does not work for, consult to, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has no relevant affiliations.

Authors: The Conversation

Read more http://theconversation.com/uk-election-2015-david-cameron-back-in-no-10-as-the-conservatives-win-41409

Writers Wanted

Schitt's Creek: the TV show has been showered with Emmys but is it worth the hype?

arrow_forward

COVID-19 and small island nations: what we can learn from New Zealand and Iceland

arrow_forward

'If JobSeeker was cut, the unemployed would be picking fruit'? Why that's not true

arrow_forward

The Conversation
INTERWEBS DIGITAL AGENCY

Politics

Did BLM Really Change the US Police Work?

The Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement has proven that the power of the state rests in the hands of the people it governs. Following the death of 46-year-old black American George Floyd in a case of ...

a Guest Writer - avatar a Guest Writer

Scott Morrison: the right man at the right time

Australia is not at war with another nation or ideology in August 2020 but the nation is in conflict. There are serious threats from China and there are many challenges flowing from the pandemic tha...

Greg Rogers - avatar Greg Rogers

Prime Minister National Cabinet Statement

The National Cabinet met today to discuss Australia’s COVID-19 response, the Victoria outbreak, easing restrictions, helping Australians prepare to go back to work in a COVID-safe environment an...

Scott Morrison - avatar Scott Morrison

Business News

Ten tips for landing a freelance transcription job

Transcription jobs are known to be popular in the field of freelancing. They offer fantastic job opportunities to a lot of people, but there are some scammers who wait to cheat the freelancers. ...

News Company - avatar News Company

How To Remove Rubbish More Effectively

It can be a big task to remove household rubbish. The hardest part is finding the best way to get rid of your junk. It can be very overwhelming to know exactly where to start with so many option...

News Company - avatar News Company

4 Tips To Pass Skills Certifications Tests

Developing the right set of skills is valuable not only to your career, but for life in general. You can get certified in these skills through obtaining a license. Without a certified license, y...

News Company - avatar News Company



News Company Media Core

Content & Technology Connecting Global Audiences

More Information - Less Opinion